The U.S. Global Change Research Program: An Assessment of by National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life

By National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Environment and Resources Commission on Geosciences, Committee on Global Change

Committee on worldwide swap, surroundings and assets fee on Geosciences, department on the earth and lifestyles reports, nationwide study Council

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These international endeavors are not included as explicit elements of the FY 1991 program. The degree to which each element of the USGCRP contributes to or benefits from related international, multinational, or bilateral efforts should be made more explicit in future descriptions of program elements and in future budgets for the program. S. S. scientists are investments in the goals of the USGCRP and should be made an explicit element of annual budgets for the program. AVAILABILITY OF HUMAN RESOURCES The availability of sufficient human resources to carry out the program may well prove the most important determinant of the success or failure of the USGCRP.

Please use the print version of this publication as the authoritative version for attribution. APPROPRIATE BALANCE 19 support of innovative individual research; and (4) maintaining a program focus that is intellectually challenging so as to attract the most able scientists, whether they work independently or through organized activities. In the opinion of the panel, the FY 1991 USGCRP plans would be strengthened if areas (1) and (2) above were more clearly supported. BALANCE AMONG OBSERVATIONS, PROCESS STUDIES, AND MODELING The USGCRP comprises three fundamental elements: observations to provide global, long-term data sets for detecting change, focused studies to improve understanding of fundamental earth system processes, and analytical modeling to develop the ability to predict future changes.

It will be necessary that the program include needs for in situ data and the complementarity of spacebased and in situ observational programs more explicitly than in the FY 1991 program. In succeeding years of the USGCRP, the two other fundamental elements of the program—process studies and modeling—must be emphasized more strongly. Process studies constitute the intellectual driving force of the program. The support for research dealing with process studies, particularly studies that address issues that cut across the seven USGCRP science elements, needs to be strengthened in future years.

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